A famous example of this is the, ‘How Thick is Alan Greenspan’s Briefcase?’ game. When Alan Greenspan was Chairman of the Fed, the financial industry would look at his briefcase when he addressed Congress. They would base their investment decisions on how thick Greenspan’s briefcase looked. If it looked thin, they assumed it meant there wouldn’t be any changes to policy. If it looked thick, they assumed changes were coming and acted accordingly. (And we are shocked the whole financial system almost collapsed a few years ago) Prattle is seeking to remove the guessing game from finance by using analytics derived from their research. Schindman’s research focused on the mathematics of finance and MacMillan’s research focused on the statistics of economic government policy.
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